Epizód összefoglalója
Middle East crude flows have rebounded, but precautionary buying and portfolio hedging are among the factors keeping prices elevated, says Daan Struyven, co-head of Global Commodities Research and head of Oil Research, on the Goldman Sachs Exchanges podcast. Key takeaways: Precautionary physical buying: Physical buyers are bidding up available crude amid growing downside risks to supply. Portfolio hedging: Bond and equity prices are unusually sensitive to oil prices, prompting institutional investors to buy crude to hedge their portfolios. Supply challenges for refined products: Persian Gulf exports of refined products like diesel and gasoline are still only at around 40% of their 2025 average levels amid damage to refineries and underinvestment in manufacturing. Metal prices may also rise: Struyven expects copper prices to increase another 10% by the end of 2027. He says gold may climb amid central bank demand for the yellow metal. Date of recording: October 22, 2026 The opinions and views expressed herein…
Middle East crude flows have rebounded, but precautionary buying and portfolio hedging are among the factors keeping prices elevated, says Daan Struyven, co-head of Global Commodities Research and head of Oil Research, on the Goldman Sachs Exchanges podcast. Key takeaways: Precautionary physical buying: Physical buyers are bidding up available crude amid growing downside risks to supply. Portfolio hedging: Bond and equity prices are unusually sensitive to oil prices, prompting institutional investors to buy crude to hedge their portfolios. Supply challenges for refined products: Persian Gulf exports of refined products like diesel and gasoline are still only at around 40% of their 2025 average levels amid damage to refineries and underinvestment in manufacturing. Metal prices may also rise: Struyven expects copper prices to increase another 10% by the end of 2027. He says gold may climb amid central bank demand for the yellow metal. Date of recording: October 22, 2026 The opinions and views expressed herein…
Epizódok
Why Oil Prices Are Surging Despite Recovering Supply
MeghallgatvaMiddle East crude flows have rebounded, but precautionary buying and portfolio hedging are among the factors keeping prices elevated, says Daan Struyven, co-head of Global Commodities Research and head of Oil Research, on the Goldman Sachs Exchanges podcast. Key takeaways: Precautionary physical buying: Physical buyers are bidding up available crude amid growing downside risks to supply. Portfolio hedging: Bond and equity prices are unusually sensitive to oil prices, prompting institutional investors to buy crude to hedge their portfolios. Supply challenges for refined products: Persian Gulf exports of refined products like diesel and gasoline are still only at around 40% of their 2025 average levels amid damage to refineries and underinvestment in manufacturing. Metal prices may also rise: Struyven expects copper prices to increase another 10% by the end of 2027. He says gold may climb amid central bank demand for the yellow metal. Date of recording: October 22, 2026 The opinions and views expressed herein…
Where Chinese Exports Are Gaining the Most Market Share
MeghallgatvaChinese exports are surging worldwide—and particularly in emerging markets, says Trina Chen, co-head of Greater China Equity Research. In the Goldman Sachs Exchanges podcast, Chen also explains which sectors face the biggest challenge from growing Chinese competition. Key takeaways: In emerging markets, revenue growth for Chinese companies may be increasing 15-times that of the local market: Goldman Sachs Research’s analysis of more than 10 sectors across industries reveals Chinese product market share has probably reached 24% in emerging markets. Chinese exports are not always cheaper: The perception that Chinese exports are gaining market share because they are cheaper may be true when they first enter the market, but prices in some cases rise over time. Improvements in product quality, for example, can close the price gap between the Chinese export and the local product. Domestic stock prices tend to respond rapidly when companies lose market share: Market capitalization can shrink by 50% or more when…
Inside the Revival of Venture Capital Liquidity with an Industry Pioneer
MeghallgatvaAs liquidity in venture capital declines, the secondary market is increasingly important for investors and companies, says Hans Swildens, partner in Goldman Sachs Asset & Wealth Management, on Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Great Investors. Swildens explains why companies are staying private longer and how artificial intelligence is creating opportunities as well as headwinds for portfolios. In this conversation with Michael Brandmeyer, global head and chief investment officer of the External Investing Group within Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Swildens also discusses the strategic rationale behind agreeing to sell his firm, Industry Ventures, to Goldman Sachs in January 2026. This episode was recorded on September 8, 2026. The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute…
How Family Businesses Should Plan for Generational Success
MeghallgatvaCompanies with significant family ownership generate roughly 70% of global economic output and 60% of the world’s jobs. However, only three in 10 survive to a second generation. In this episode of Goldman Sachs Exchanges, FX de Mallmann, chairman of Goldman Sachs EMEA and chairman of Investment Banking, and Tucker York, chairman of global Wealth Management, discuss why succession is so difficult, how enduring enterprises structure governance, and the mindset shift required after a sale or IPO. Key Takeaways Succession is a two-part decision: Founders must separate management continuity from asset ownership transfer. This process yields the best results when initiated early and built with operational flexibility. There are multiple paths to business success: Company success has come from both founders who diversified ownership and brought in professional management, and founders who kept the business family-controlled and managed. Wealth creation demands a mindset shift: Through a sale or IPO, founders go…
Why Markets May Be Pricing in Too Many Fed Rate Hikes
MeghallgatvaMarkets may be pricing in more tightening by the Federal Reserve than is warranted due to a divergence playing out in the economy, according to Goldman Sachs Vice Chairman and former Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan. In the Goldman Sachs Exchanges podcast, Kaplan notes that while artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure and defense spending are continuing to boom, interest-rate sensitive parts of the economy, such as housing and autos, are already straining under higher rates. Taken together, these crosscurrents are creating a more muted response from the Fed. Key takeaways: The Fed may still hike, but not much: Kaplan expects the Fed to raise rates one more time to bring rates to roughly 4%–4.25%, then pause to reassess. The markets, however, are pricing in more hikes, which Kaplans attributes to a risk premium from investors that may be related to uncertainties over oil prices and how Fed Chairman Warsh would adjust policy in reaction to economic data. The neutral rate still matters: Kaplan says this…